Daddycatcher’s 2009 Tony Predictions

Daddycatcher takes his first offical blog stab at Tony Predictions. Let’s see how he does come Sunday night during the Tony Awards!

Best Play
Dividing the Estate (Author: Horton Foote)
*God of Carnage (Author: Yasmina Reza)
Reasons to Be Pretty (Author: Neil LaBute)
33 Variations (Author: Moises Kaufman)

The Tony voters may feel like giving the late Horton Foote one last honor, since the show was a hit last season off-Broadway. But Yasmina Reza’s God of Carnage is the big hit of the season and with a stellar cast looks like a lock.

Best Musical
*Billy Elliot, The Musical
Next to Normal
Rock of Ages
Shrek The Musical

Billy Elliot is the musical to beat. And Next to Normal is trying really hard to beat it. If it does, it’ll be 2004 all over again (Avenue Q beating out Wicked).

Best Book of a Musical
*Billy Elliot, The Musical Lee Hall
Next to Normal Brian Yorkey
Shrek The MusicalDavid Lindsay-Abaire
[Title of Show]Hunter Bell

Lee Hall took his own screenplay and transformed it into a stellar piece of theatre, even if it seems a little too British for American audiences.

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
Billy Elliot, The Musical (Music: Elton John, Lyrics: Lee Hall)
*Next to Normal (Music: Tom Kitt, Lyrics: Brian Yorkey)
9 to 5: The Musical (Music & Lyrics: Dolly Parton)
Shrek The Musical (Music: Jeanine Tesori, Lyrics: David Lindsay-Abaire)

This is one of the two categories that Next to Normal has a chance of winning. Tom Kitt and Brian Yorkey’s score is inventive and perfectly complements the domestic drama at the heart of the show.

Best Revival of a Play
Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Mary Stuart
*The Norman Conquests
Waiting for Godot

The Norman Conquests trilogy should take home the prize but never underestimate the power of Barack Obama who attended Joe Turner’s Come and Gone last weekend. But who really cares, because this category won’t even make it onto the live telecast. Shame on CBS!

Best Revival of a Musical
Guys and Dolls
*Hair
Pal Joey
West Side Story

Before Daddycatcher saw last summer’s exhilarating production in the Park, he was wondering will anyone really care about seeing Hair again. Well, they do and it really is a great production of a so-so musical.

Best Special Theatrical Event
Liza’s at The Palace
Slava’s Snowshow
Soul of Shaolin
*You’re Welcome America. A Final Night with George W. Bush

Liza Minnelli or Will Ferrell? She’s got a few Tony’s already and producers want to woo Ferrell back, so expect the comedian to take the stage and say something unbelievable stupid.

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play
Jeff Daniels, God of Carnage
Raúl Esparza, Speed-the-Plow
James Gandolfini, God of Carnage
*Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King
Thomas Sadoski, Reasons to Be Pretty

Raúl Esparza had this in the bag until Geoffrey Rush mesmerized everyone with his portrayal of a fading monarch.

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play
Hope Davis, God of Carnage
*Jane Fonda, 33 Variations
Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage
Janet McTeer, Mary Stuart
Harriet Walter, Mary Stuart

Jane Fonda’s momentum may have faded a little since her show closed two weeks ago, but she might still pull through.

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
*David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, and Kiril Kulish ‚ Billy Elliot, The Musical
Gavin Creel, Hair
Brian d’Arcy James, Shrek The Musical
Constantine Maroulis, Rock of Ages
J. Robert Spencer, Next to Normal

Daddycatcher would rather see J. Robert Spencer win, but knows that those Billy Elliot kids will win like the London trio did at the Olivier Awards.

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
Stockard Channing, Pal Joey
Sutton Foster, Shrek The Musical
Allison Janney, 9 to 5: The Musical
*Alice Ripley, Next to Normal
Josefina Scaglione, West Side Story

Daddycatcher would rather not relive the moment when Raúl Esparza lost to David Hyde Pierce. The possibility of this happening again is in the air with Allison Janney and Alice Ripley. But Daddycatcher is pretty positive that Alice Ripley’s riveting turn as a schizophrenic suburban mother will prevail.

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play
John Glover, Waiting for Godot
Zach Grenier, 33 Variations
Stephen Mangan, The Norman Conquests
Paul Ritter, The Norman Conquests
*Roger Robinson, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone

Roger Robinson seems the sentimental favorite and his mystical turn in Joe Turner’s Come and Gone could give the veteran actor his first Tony win.

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play
Hallie Foote, Dividing the Estate
Jessica Hynes, The Norman Conquests
Marin Ireland, Reasons to Be Pretty
*Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit
Amanda Root, The Norman Conquests

What would this be, like, the 5th Tony for Angela Lansbury!?!

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical
David Bologna, Billy Elliot, The Musical
Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliot, The Musical
Marc Kudisch, 9 to 5: The Musical
*Christopher Sieber, Shrek The Musical
Will Swenson, Hair

After enduring countless jokes about being on his knees, Christopher Sieber can accept his first Tony standing tall.

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
Jennifer Damiano, Next to Normal
Haydn Gwynne, Billy Elliot, The Musical
*Karen Olivo, West Side Story
Martha Plimpton, Pal Joey
Carole Shelley, Billy Elliot, The Musical

Fiery and feisty, Karen Olivo gives the otherwise bland revival of West Side Story it’s passion.

Best Direction of a Play
Phyllida Lloyd, Mary Stuart
Bartlett Sher, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Matthew Warchus, God of Carnage
*Matthew Warchus, The Norman Conquests

Matthew Warchus wins this hands-down because, technically, it’s three plays!

Best Direction of a Musical
*Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot, The Musical
Michael Greif, Next to Normal
Kristin Hanggi, Rock of Ages
Diane Paulus, Hair

Daldry has the British pedigree and he created some great stage moments at the Imperial Theatre.

Best Choreography
Karole Armitage, Hair
Andy Blankenbuehler, 9 to 5: The Musical
*Peter Darling, Billy Elliot, The Musical
Randy Skinner, Irving Berlin’s White Christmas

Peter Darling’s choreography makes a story about a boy who dances really move.

Tony Time

Check out Daddycatcher’s other predictions…

Best Orchestrations
Larry Blank, Irving Berlin’s White Christmas
Martin Koch, Billy Elliot, The Musical
*Michael Starobin and Tom Kitt, Next to Normal
Danny Troob and John Clancy, Shrek The Musical

Best Scenic Design of a Play
Dale Ferguson, Exit the King
Rob Howell, The Norman Conquests
*Derek McLane, 33 Variations
Michael Yeargan, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Robert Brill, Guys and Dolls
*Ian MacNeil, Billy Elliot, The Musical
Scott Pask, Pal Joey
Mark Wendland, Next to Normal

Best Costume Design of a Play
Dale Ferguson, Exit the King
Jane Greenwood, Waiting for Godot
Martin Pakledinaz, Blithe Spirit
*Anthony Ward, Mary Stuart

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Gregory Gale, Rock of Ages
Nicky Gillibrand, Billy Elliot, The Musical
*Tim Hatley, Shrek The Musical
Michael McDonald, Hair

Best Lighting Design of a Play
David Hersey, Equus
*David Lander, 33 Variations
Brian MacDevitt, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Hugh Vanstone, Mary Stuart

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Kevin Adams, Hair
Kevin Adams, Next to Normal
Howell Binkley, West Side Story
*Rick Fisher, Billy Elliot, The Musical

Best Sound Design of a Play
Paul Arditti, Mary Stuart
*Gregory Clarke, Equus
Russell Goldsmith, Exit the King
Scott Lehrer and Leon Rothenberg, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone

Best Sound Design of a Musical
Acme Sound Partners, Hair
*Paul Arditti, Billy Elliot, The Musical
Peter Hylenski, Rock of Ages
Brian Ronan, Next to Normal

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