Daddycatcher’s Tony Crystal Ball

In just a few short days, the Tony nominations will be coming out and Daddycatcher is going to take a stab at predicting the nominations.

He has seen about 95% of the eligible Broadway shows, so some of these nominations are based on scientific fact.

BEST MUSICAL
Billy Elliot
Next to Normal
Shrek
[title of show]
Upset: Rock of Ages

next-to-normal
BEST PLAY
33 Variations
Dividing the Estate
God of Carnage
reasons to be pretty
Upset: The American Plan

33-variations
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Guys and Dolls
Hair
Pal Joey
West Side Story

Upset: That Pal Joey or Guys and Dolls get left off the list

guys-and-dolls
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Desire Under the Elms
Exit the King
Mary Stuart

The Norman Conquests
Upset: Speed-the-Plow or Waiting for Godot

desire-under-the-elms
BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, and Kiril Kulish, Billy Elliot
James Barbour
, A Tale of Two Cities
Gavin Creel, Hair
Brian d’Arcy James, Shrek
J. Robert Spencer, Next to Normal
Upset: Matt Cavenaugh, West Side Story

billy-elliot
BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Sutton Foster, Shrek
Megan Hilty, 9 to 5
Allison Janney, 9 to 5
Alice Ripley, Next to Normal
Josefina Scaglione, West Side Story
Upset: Stockard Channing, Pal Joey

pal-joey
BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY
Raúl Esparza, Speed-the-Plow
James Gandolfini, God of Carnage
Bill Irwin, Waiting for Godot
Geoffrey Rush
, Exit the King
Thomas Sadoski, reasons to be pretty
Upset: Jeff Daniels, God of Carnage

exit-the-king
BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Jane Fonda
, 33 Variations
Tovah Feldshuh, Irena’s Vow
Carla Gugino, Desire Under the Elms
Janet McTeer, Mary Stuart
Harriet Walter, Mary Stuart
Upset: Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage

mary-stuart
BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliot
Marc Kudisch, 9 to 5
Christopher Sieber, Shrek
Will Swenson, Hair
Aaron Tveit, Next to Normal
Upset: Daniel Breaker, Shrek

9-to-5
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Susan Blackwell, [title of a show]
Jennifer Damiano, Next to Normal
Haydn Gwynne, Billy Elliot
Karen Olivo, West Side Story
Martha Plimpton, Pal Joey
Upset: Kathy Fitzgerald, 9 to 5

west-side-story1

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
John Goodman, Waiting for Godot
Ben Miles, The Norman Conquests
Paul Ritter, The Norman Conquests
Roger Robinson, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Patrick Wilson, All My Sons
Upset: Stephen Mangan, The Norman Conquests

all-my-sons
BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Hallie Foote, Dividing the Estate
Marin Ireland, reasons to be pretty
Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit
Andrea Martin, Exit the King
Amanda Root, The Norman Conquests
Upset: Amelia Bullmore, The Norman Conquests

blithe-spirit
BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot
Michael Greif, Next to Normal
Arthur Laurents, West Side Story
Diane Paulus, Hair
Upset: Michael Berresse, [title of show]

hair1
BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Robert Falls, Desire Under the Elms
Phyllida Lloyd, Mary Stuart
Bartlett Sher, Joe Turner’s Come and Gone
Matthew Warchus, God of Carnage
Upset: Matthew Warchus, The Norman Conquests

good-of-carnage
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Hunter Bell, [title of show]
Lee Hall, Billy Elliot
David Lindsay-Abaire, Shrek
Brian Yorkey, Next to Normal
Upset: Chris D’Arienzo, Rock of Ages

shrek
BEST SCORE OF A MUSICAL
Billy Elliot – Elton John and Lee Hall
Next to Normal – Tom Kitt and Brian Yorkey
Shrek – Jeanine Tesori and David Lindsay-Abaire
[title of show] – Jeff Bowen
Upset: 9 to 5 – Dolly Parton

title-of-show1
Let’s see how many Daddycatcher gets correct!

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